Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.009063 0.010714 0.012710 0.015344 0.018794 0.023254 0.029626
2025-08-10 0.006751 0.008597 0.011086 0.014818 0.020528 0.029430 0.045554
2025-08-17 0.005414 0.007201 0.009774 0.013960 0.021078 0.033815 0.061868
2025-08-24 0.004574 0.006277 0.008850 0.013304 0.021543 0.038114 0.081926
2025-08-31 0.004151 0.005871 0.008596 0.013616 0.023767 0.047049 0.124291
2025-09-07 0.003704 0.005350 0.008045 0.013243 0.024483 0.053117 0.169389
2025-09-14 0.003317 0.004871 0.007481 0.012701 0.024630 0.057904 0.221706
2025-09-21 0.003074 0.004594 0.007220 0.012689 0.026002 0.067406 0.331319
2025-09-28 0.002940 0.004482 0.007235 0.013245 0.029040 0.085559 0.617719
2025-10-05 0.002885 0.004499 0.007488 0.014385 0.034284 0.119969 1.685504
2025-10-12 0.002765 0.004383 0.007463 0.014874 0.037896 0.154119 4.901324
2025-10-19 0.002596 0.004160 0.007192 0.014696 0.039233 0.178656 13.848503
2025-10-26 0.002441 0.003964 0.006985 0.014735 0.041826 0.223427 189.074966
2025-11-02 0.002260 0.003703 0.006611 0.014260 0.042312 0.255862 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002074 0.003418 0.006150 0.013447 0.041014 0.269006 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001922 0.003186 0.005781 0.012823 0.040294 0.289646 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001850 0.003104 0.005732 0.013120 0.044063 0.395240 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001742 0.002942 0.005484 0.012766 0.044477 0.455748 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001634 0.002772 0.005202 0.012250 0.043802 0.495791 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001566 0.002678 0.005085 0.012239 0.045968 0.637176 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001533 0.002653 0.005130 0.012767 0.051865 1.039045 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001528 0.002686 0.005320 0.013850 0.062887 2.428432 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001492 0.002650 0.005332 0.014315 0.070377 5.046216 NaN